Sons of Anarchy took a second straight loss to Mr. Horsey last week, which is good news for the Caballero, but potentially troubling for the Anarchists. That being said, Drew Brees' domination in the Giants game was a major factor for Mr. Horsey, as was Sons decision (which I heard considerable consternation surrounding) not to start Ray Rice. Hindsight is 20/20, but one can't be too judgmental. If last week showed me anything its that projected stats OFTEN MEAN NOTHING. The A Team, with an absentee owner and 2 unfilled starting spots almost defeated the well-coached Raiderettes. In doing so, they scored more than DOUBLE their projected total. Granted, games with a margin of victory north of 55 pts. are exceedingly rare, but in this same week Matt Hasselbeck scored less than 2 pts, while Wes Welker and Randy Moss both exceeded 30 pts. thanks to the misfortune that befell Tennessee. Projected points may let you feel confident during the week while you set your lineup and dream of an upcoming 8.7 point margin of victory over your opponent, but in reality I think last week proved that gut-feeling is worth at least as much as the Rotowire numbers.
I want to move on to the look forward, but I would also like to point out my narrow margin of victory over air it outtt last week. I was pretty sure I was going down against a very strong opponent, but i escaped. I've also learned my lesson. While its good to give your picks a few weeks to get going, players like Santana Moss, and Steve Smith (Car.), and T.O. need a serious second look.
Looking Forward:
Air it Outtt v. Raiderettes:
This one is tough to call as an inside source tells me Raiderettes isn't entirely set on its starting roster. As it stands, the Projected Stats favour Air it Outtt, but im not sure. I like Randy Moss against Tampa, Reggie Wayne against StL, and Vernon Davis in general. That said, I think New Orleans is due for a loss, and might have to throw more than hand it to Pierre Thomas. Also, Benson seems over-valued against Chicago. Its week 7, some of these teams are due... On the other side, I really like Brown against N.O. I think that game should be close, and I'm hoping that Miami comes out on top, to be honest. Jacobs is my favorite RB, but against Ari. I see New York exploiting the high yards-allowed situation by the Cardinals.
My Pick: These are two teams coached by true fans of the game, and this is tough to call. Lets go crazy... Ill call 2 straight losses for Air it Outtt. Raiderettes.
Mr. Horsey v. The A Team:
Mr. Horsey is playing the un-managed 'A Team', but according to the stat-rats, he has a game in his hooves. Both D's are predicted to OWN their opponents, and both teams are starting stud quarterbacks. I hope Boldin has a bad day out because they're playing the G-Men, and I think the projected stats are legit in this case. Fitzgerald and Breaston will get the majority of the grabs over the injured (Questionable) Boldin. On a second note, Mr Horsey needs to get rid of T.O. He's not performing. It was an OK idea when he was a F.A., but things have changed. There are lots of better W/R candidates. My Pick: Mr. Horsey because i'm hoping The A Team goes all Detroit '08 on us.
Sons of Anarchy v. Team Hurricain:
This is a matchup. Two RBs on bad teams going up against good teams. Two kickers slated to kick often and well. Its all tied up... I like Team Hurricain because I think Peyton does better than Warner against his little brother, and Collie has the potential to gain from that matchup too. That said, Addai should get a lot of touches IF Indy gets off to a huge lead at the half. Of course, StL is due, and sometimes the teams with the worse records can come out and get you... or they can lose another. I think Hurricain because I anticipate Sons' Defence to have a worse week against Pittsburgh than the statisticians. Big Ben (rarely) falls hard. My Pick: Sons of Anarchy to seek comfort in Indian desserts after taking a hard-fought loss to Team Hurricain
M240 v. DommyBear:
Statistically Im looking good. Schaub is leading the league in TD passes, and is going up against S.F. which has allowed >320 yds/game of offense. Combined with Slaton catching a bunch of those passes, and Peterson due for a breakout run, Im feeling OK. Not sure which Defence to start... How much do I trust the Giants? Jets have been disappointing but everyone is great against Oakland. Im thinking I let them have a go against Jamarcus Russell. That said, Dallas Clark should have a good week, and Michael Crabtree is an unknown entity. Could be great, could be horrible. My Pick: ME
Ending Thoughts:
This should be a good week for ActionKacton football. The standings are close, and the results have been often upsets and/or blowouts.
Also, we should work out some sort of beer-drinking, football viewing, stats-on-laptop-tracking Sunday in the weeks to come.
Good luck everyone!
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